Does India need a foreign policy shift?
India needs to keep the following factors in view before taking a stand in the fast-changing geo-political scenario especially the weakening Indo-US ties :-
As a transactional leader and an astute dealmaker, the unpredictable President Trump has initiated tariff war to ‘Make America Great Again’. The US expects India to import arms ,crude oil, agricultural /dairy,fisheries and genetically modified products from it. This will adversely impact Indian farmers and fishermen; (b) Both the US and China are trying to balance India against Pakistan to have dominance in the region.China is also suspicious about Pakistan’s growing proximity with the US; (c) Both Russia and China are upset with India for joining the QUAD; (d) China has illegally grabbed large chunks of India’s territory.It has allegedly set up villages inside Arunachal Pradesh and relocated its citizens from the mainland. Its latest misadventure is laying of the railway track to improve connectivity between the mainland and Tibet. This would threaten India’s territorial integrity. Both countries need to work for permanent delineation of boundary; (e) A thaw in US-Russia relations especially after Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska,may not ease tension between the US-India.There is, no hope of reduction in-tariff imposed by the US which has not penalized China for importing oil from Russia. The US Treasury Secretary threatened additional ‘secondary tariff’ on India, if the outcome of the Alaska summit is not favourable. The talks between Trump and Putin, have remained inconclusive. A matter of concern for India.
ow should India handle the dilemma?
All things considered, India needs to play its card cautiously and firmly by strengthening the BRICS for creating a new currency for trade, despite US’s opposition, terming it ‘de-dollarisation’. PM Modi’s meeting with President Jinping on the sidelines of SCO would be important.
India should put its best foot forward in the multi-polar world order. Let India continue to remain a member of the QUAD. More importantly, India needs to support Russia’s proposal of forming the Russia-India-China troika (RIC troika) as a trilateral grouping to counter western dominance.
A K Saxena (Former civil servant)
As a transactional leader and an astute dealmaker, the unpredictable President Trump has initiated tariff war to ‘Make America Great Again’. The US expects India to import arms ,crude oil, agricultural /dairy,fisheries and genetically modified products from it. This will adversely impact Indian farmers and fishermen; (b) Both the US and China are trying to balance India against Pakistan to have dominance in the region.China is also suspicious about Pakistan’s growing proximity with the US; (c) Both Russia and China are upset with India for joining the QUAD; (d) China has illegally grabbed large chunks of India’s territory.It has allegedly set up villages inside Arunachal Pradesh and relocated its citizens from the mainland. Its latest misadventure is laying of the railway track to improve connectivity between the mainland and Tibet. This would threaten India’s territorial integrity. Both countries need to work for permanent delineation of boundary; (e) A thaw in US-Russia relations especially after Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska,may not ease tension between the US-India.There is, no hope of reduction in-tariff imposed by the US which has not penalized China for importing oil from Russia. The US Treasury Secretary threatened additional ‘secondary tariff’ on India, if the outcome of the Alaska summit is not favourable. The talks between Trump and Putin, have remained inconclusive. A matter of concern for India.
ow should India handle the dilemma?
All things considered, India needs to play its card cautiously and firmly by strengthening the BRICS for creating a new currency for trade, despite US’s opposition, terming it ‘de-dollarisation’. PM Modi’s meeting with President Jinping on the sidelines of SCO would be important.
India should put its best foot forward in the multi-polar world order. Let India continue to remain a member of the QUAD. More importantly, India needs to support Russia’s proposal of forming the Russia-India-China troika (RIC troika) as a trilateral grouping to counter western dominance.
A K Saxena (Former civil servant)